November 13th, 2015 Update:
According to Deadline Hollywood, ABC has cancelled Wicked City after three very low-rated episodes. Production on the eighth episode will be completed but no additional episodes will be filmed.
It’s time! The 2015-2016 television season officially kicks off tonight and that means the networks will be rolling out a few dozen new shows over the next few weeks, although quite a few won’t debut until October or even November. This is my 7th annual “predict the first cancellation of the new season” post.
Here is a look back at the first cancellations of the past six seasons:
2009-2010 – The Beautiful Life: TBL (The CW, 2 episodes)
2010-2011 – Lonestar (FOX, 2 episodes)
2011-2012 – The Playboy Club (NBC, 3 episodes)
2012-2013 – Made in Jersey (CBS, 2 episodes)
2013-2014 – Lucky 7 (ABC, 2 episodes)
2014-2015 – Manhattan Love Story (ABC, 4 episodes)
(The only one of these shows I actually watched was The Playboy Club back in 2011 on NBC.)
So what will be the first cancellation of the 2015-2016 season? The Player on NBC? Minority Report on FOX? Dr. Ken on ABC? Personally, I feel this a particularly difficult season to predict which show will be cancelled first. There are certainly a number of shows I think look really awful but that doesn’t necessarily mean they’ll flop and with premieres staggered through mid-October and beyond it’s entirely possible that we won’t see a cancellation for quite a few weeks.
ABC has a lot riding on Blood & Oil and Quantico so I doubt either will be pulled unless literally nobody is watching. Life in Pieces on CBS is pretty much guaranteed a huge sampling initially because it follows The Big Bang Theory although it may ultimately lose too much of that audience to survive. NBC will stick by Heroes Reborn until the bitter end regardless of its ratings because it would be too embarrassing for the network to pull it.
Hit the comments with your predictions and stay tuned as we wait to learn what the first new obscurity of the 2015-2016 season will be.