October 24th, 2014 Update: ABC has cancelled Manhattan Love Story after four episodes, officially making it the first cancellation of the 2014-2015 season.
Tonight marks the official start of the 2014-2015 television season, meaning dozens of new shows will roll out over the next few weeks. That means it is time for my 6th annual “predict the first cancellation of the new season” post. In years past, the first cancellation has usually been pretty obvious, either due to critical drubbing or a killer time slot. However, sometimes the networks stick by and even renew very low-rated shows, so who knows. Quite a few shows will not premiere until October, by which time the first cancellation will probably already have been made.
For the record, here are the first cancellations from the past five seasons as well as the number of episodes aired before cancellation:
2009-2010 – The Beautiful Life: TBL (The CW, 2 episodes)
2010-2011 – Lonestar (FOX, 2 episodes)
2011-2012 – The Playboy Club (NBC, 3 episodes)
2012-2013 – Made in Jersey (CBS, 2 episodes)
2013-2014 – Lucky 7 (ABC, 2 episodes)
How many of those shows do you remember? The only one I actually watched was The Playboy Club.
There are a few shows this season, like Gotham (FOX), The Flash (The CW), and NCIS: New Orleans, are all but guaranteed a full season pick-up and renewal for next season. Red Band Society (FOX) has already premiered to very low ratings, so it could be pulled soon if the second episode drops. Selfie (ABC) seems to be the worst-reviewed new show, so it’s definitely in the running for an early cancellation but there are plenty of options.
Hit the comments with your predictions for the first cancellation of the new season.